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  4. PRE FOMC Analysis: GBP/USD is close to support

PRE FOMC Analysis: GBP/USD is close to support

December 14, 2016 09:02

The main event this month is FOMC Economic projection with statement and Federal Funds Rate decision. Market expects a hike of 0.25 % (from 0.50% to 0.75%). Any deviation from expected result will move the USD heavily. Today's GBP data was better than expected with Average Earnings Index coming +0.2 % better than expected while the change in the number of people claiming unemployment-related benefits during the previous month dropped to 2.4k.

GBP/USD is currently at support and bullish POC zone comes within 1.2628-48 (neckline support, L3, 61.8, trend line) and the bounce from there could target 1.2696 and 1.2730. The problem for bulls is head and shoulders pattern and in the case of a drop watch for 1.2615. Break below should target 1.2584 and 1.2560. Volatility is not high now, but it could spike during London profit taking and when NY traders join up.

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